The excellent wine grapes harvest of 2025 signifies the recovery in SA agriculture generally

Loading player...
We have been saying for some time that 2025 will be a recovery year for South Africa’s agriculture, mainly highlighting the gains in grains, soybeans, and horticulture yields. But I was particularly pleased on May 8, when I received a report from South Africa Wine (SA Wine) indicating that we will have an excellent harvest in 2025.

SA Wine and Vinpro forecasts South Africa’s wine grapes harvest to be 1.244 million tonnes, an 11% recovery from the exceptionally poor harvest in 2024. Importantly, the quality promises are also to be excellent.

With the harvest like this, our preoccupation for the coming months will continue to be the export markets and logistics.

Indeed, the US market has dominated the trade conversation in recent weeks. However, long before the Trump tariffs, the South African wine industry and the entire agricultural sector had been focused on expanding export markets beyond the existing ones.

South Africa’s agricultural sector is export-oriented, with exports reaching a record US$13,7 billion in 2024, up 3% from the previous year, according to data from Trade Map. This reflects both an increase in the volume of agricultural exports and higher prices of some products.

The top exported products by value include citrus, grapes, maize, apples and pears, wine, nuts, fruit juices, sugar, berries, dates, pineapples, avocados, wool, apricots and peaches, ciders, and beef.

The focus on broadening export markets becomes even more urgent as we continue to see better quality and volumes in wine and other agricultural product output. One of the primary areas we focus on is China, which has a large population and buying power. China accounts for 11% of global agricultural imports.

However, the South African agricultural sector, specifically the wine industry, faces some constraints. For example, we face tariffs of 14% in wine exports in China, while our competitors, such as Australia, face 0% duties as they have a trade agreement with China. We have been vocal about such issues for some time. Now, the environment is even more urgent and appropriate to open these new markets, as China also looks to increase its agricultural trade with South Africa.

Listen to the podcast for more insights.

Richard Humphries and Sam Mkokeli produce this podcast.
12 May 2025 English South Africa Investing · Food

Other recent episodes

Zambia has its largest maize harvest on record

Zambia has had an exceptional maize production season. The country is expecting its largest maize crop on record, which will provide an essential cushion ahead of the challenging production season in the upcoming 2026-27 summer. Over the past few months, I have seen various optimistic statements from the country’s Ministry…
17 Aug 7 min

The impact of snowfall on South Africa's agriculture

I am in Pretoria, and we obviously don’t have snowfall here. But I am following the snowfall issue in parts of the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal and the Free State, amongst other regions of South Africa. From an agricultural perspective, I am more concerned about its impact on livestock – cattle,…
12 Aug 4 min

A mild rise in tariffs in the US and its impact on SA agriculture

The U.S. government has raised tariffs against several countries under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, on the Acts, Policies, and Practices of 60 Economies Related to the Failure of Each Economy to Impose and Effectively Enforce a Prohibition on the Importation of Goods Produced with Forced Labour[1]…
24 Jul 5 min