US labour market strength surprises; SA collects more revenue than expected

--:--
Several US labour market reports released last week were surprisingly strong. The US created 254 000 jobs in September, well above expectations for 150 000 jobs, while unemployment fell to 4.1% from 4.2%. This encouraged the equity market, as it suggested the US is not about to move into recession, but it dampened hopes for a 50 bps interest rate cut. The next cut is likely to be only 25 bps.

In SA, National Treasury’s estimate of revenue and expenditure for August showed the government is generally keeping spending within budget. Individual income tax collection was buoyant, largely as a result of fiscal drag, while corporate tax collection was also surprisingly strong. This means the October Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) is likely to show only a modest revenue shortfall for the year.

Click here to listen to the podcast.
7 Oct English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

Republicans sweep US election and US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates

The Republican Party is on the verge of securing a sweeping election result, which puts President-Elect Donald Trump in a powerful position to effect policy changes. These policies could stimulate growth, but also have negative consequences. They include extending tax cuts, imposing a wide range of import duties (which could…
11 Nov 13 min

US labour market reports

A range of US labour market data was released last week but it was distorted by the hurricanes in September and October. Only 12 000 jobs were created in October – way below the 100 000 that the market expected, but the response rate to the survey was low. The…
4 Nov 6 min

MTBPS 2024: bond market registers disappointment

The MTBPS delivered by the Minister of Finance disappointed bond investors, says Victor Mphaphuli, STANLIB Head of Fixed Income. In the current fiscal year, revenue collection is weaker and expenditure greater than expected, with the budget deficit seen at 5% vs 4.5% projected in February. The 10-year government bond peaked…
30 Oct 4 min